Tuesday, December 15, 2015
Monday, December 14, 2015
Performance analysis - which team won the development race?
Mercedes may have been the undisputed class of the field in 2015, but in the race to develop their car over the entire season, four others teams managed to out-gun the Silver Arrows. We crunched the numbers to see who fared badly - and who emerged as the surprise winners...
Before we get to the reveal, the maths. We took a team's fastest overall lap from each weekend over the season - taken from whichever of their drivers was quickest - and expressed it as a percentage of the overall fastest time, which more often than not was the Q3 pole lap.
Doing it this way helps to eliminate variables - like one driver having a bad weekend, or a spate of unreliability or crashes - and drill down into each team's underlying pace on each race weekend, and across the season.
It also allows us to look at which teams improved - or lost ground - over the 19 races. Discounting the first race, in part because not every team was present and in part because Australia isn't always the most representative race, we took each team's average from races two, three and four, and compared that to the final three Grands Prix.
So who were the biggest gainers? Did McLaren get on top of their numerous issues, for example? And did the likes of Ferrari, Williams or Red Bull close on Mercedes?
GAINING GROUND

1. Force India
Early season average: 102.29%
End of season average: 101.27%
Gain: 1.014%
The stats don't lie: Force India gained the most ground of any team between the start and end of the season - and by some margin too.
In this regard, the team's poor start to the year played a significant role. Budget issues meant they missed much of pre-season, and were off the pace when the season began - although Nico Hulkenberg and Sergio Perez managed to rescue several points finishes.
The focus though was on the 'B-spec' car that was eventually introduced in Silverstone. Once optimised, this proved a massive step forward, with Force India's raw pace a match for Red Bull and Williams over the final three races.
2. Marussia
Early season average: 106.57%
End of season average: 106.24%
Gain: 0.323%
The slowest team on the grid typically have the biggest potential to improve, but even so Marussia deserve credit for closing the gap to Mercedes over 2015. Using a modified version of their 2014 car, and with obvious budget constraints, the team made steady progress over the season. With a new car for 2016, and Mercedes power, the ingredients are there to make a bigger step over the winter.
Early season average: 106.57%
End of season average: 106.24%
Gain: 0.323%
The slowest team on the grid typically have the biggest potential to improve, but even so Marussia deserve credit for closing the gap to Mercedes over 2015. Using a modified version of their 2014 car, and with obvious budget constraints, the team made steady progress over the season. With a new car for 2016, and Mercedes power, the ingredients are there to make a bigger step over the winter.
3. McLaren
Early season average: 102.90%
End of season average: 102.74%
Gain: 0.157%
Whatever the measure or statistic, this was a dismal season for the team from Woking. The Honda power unit was the obvious point of blame, as the 'size zero' concept led to numerous and insurmountable (at least in the short term) issues. McLaren did at least make progress relative to the outright pace, but their end-of-season average was still worse than every team bar Marussia.
Next year will be critical.
4. Red Bull
Early season average: 101.43%
End of season average: 101.27%
Gain: 0.154%
Like McLaren, Red Bull's progress over the 2015 season was hardly remarkable - but the latter did at least have less overall ground to make up. The good news for Red Bull is that they were a clear match for Williams by the end of the year, behind only Mercedes and Ferrari. Improve the power unit situation, and they should make a major jump forward in 2016.
The bad news? Red Bull's struggles weren't all engine-related - indeed a glance at the early season averages shows there was very little to separate the team from sister outfit Toro Rosso early on. The fact the gap grows between the two teams suggests Red Bull were able to start getting on top of the RB11 - which could bode well for next year.
NO CHANGE

5. Mercedes
Early season average: 100.00%
End of season average: 100.00%
A victim of their own success, at least in this one regard - Mercedes' crushing dominance in 2015 meant they 'gained' little ground over the season. They improved outright of course, bringing a relentless stream of upgrades throughout the season. But they also set the pace in 18 of 19 races this year, meaning their average was almost always 100 percent.
The one exception was Singapore, where Sebastian Vettel was legitimately fastest. In all other races, Mercedes had a pace advantage. That shows what a good job Ferrari and Vettel did to triumph three times, but it also emphasises the scale of the task every other team has to overhaul the Silver Arrows.
Such dominance might not always translate to fantastic racing, but there are encouraging signs in the data. Lewis Hamilton set the outright pace in 11 of the first 12 races (Nico Rosberg was faster in Spain), but then trailed his team mate in all of the last six. If Rosberg can keep that momentum up, we could have a fantastic fight for the title next year.
LOSING GROUND

6. Ferrari
Early season average: 100.58%
End of season average: 101.67%
Loss: 0.085%
Ferrari fell very slightly behind Mercedes over the course of 2015, although by a very small margin.
The team's high point came in Singapore, where Sebastian Vettel set the outright pace - as mentioned above, the only occasion all year where Mercedes didn't end up leading the way The German was typically the faster of Ferrari's two drivers, which meant his Q1 exit in Abu Dhabi - the result of a team miscalculation rather than a speed deficit - may have hurt their end-of-season average slightly. Even so, this was a good year for the Prancing Horse, as the team clearly established themselves as Mercedes' closest challengers.
Early season average: 102.90%
End of season average: 102.74%
Gain: 0.157%
Whatever the measure or statistic, this was a dismal season for the team from Woking. The Honda power unit was the obvious point of blame, as the 'size zero' concept led to numerous and insurmountable (at least in the short term) issues. McLaren did at least make progress relative to the outright pace, but their end-of-season average was still worse than every team bar Marussia.
Next year will be critical.
4. Red Bull
Early season average: 101.43%
End of season average: 101.27%
Gain: 0.154%
Like McLaren, Red Bull's progress over the 2015 season was hardly remarkable - but the latter did at least have less overall ground to make up. The good news for Red Bull is that they were a clear match for Williams by the end of the year, behind only Mercedes and Ferrari. Improve the power unit situation, and they should make a major jump forward in 2016.
The bad news? Red Bull's struggles weren't all engine-related - indeed a glance at the early season averages shows there was very little to separate the team from sister outfit Toro Rosso early on. The fact the gap grows between the two teams suggests Red Bull were able to start getting on top of the RB11 - which could bode well for next year.
NO CHANGE

5. Mercedes
Early season average: 100.00%
End of season average: 100.00%
A victim of their own success, at least in this one regard - Mercedes' crushing dominance in 2015 meant they 'gained' little ground over the season. They improved outright of course, bringing a relentless stream of upgrades throughout the season. But they also set the pace in 18 of 19 races this year, meaning their average was almost always 100 percent.
The one exception was Singapore, where Sebastian Vettel was legitimately fastest. In all other races, Mercedes had a pace advantage. That shows what a good job Ferrari and Vettel did to triumph three times, but it also emphasises the scale of the task every other team has to overhaul the Silver Arrows.
Such dominance might not always translate to fantastic racing, but there are encouraging signs in the data. Lewis Hamilton set the outright pace in 11 of the first 12 races (Nico Rosberg was faster in Spain), but then trailed his team mate in all of the last six. If Rosberg can keep that momentum up, we could have a fantastic fight for the title next year.
LOSING GROUND

6. Ferrari
Early season average: 100.58%
End of season average: 101.67%
Loss: 0.085%
Ferrari fell very slightly behind Mercedes over the course of 2015, although by a very small margin.
The team's high point came in Singapore, where Sebastian Vettel set the outright pace - as mentioned above, the only occasion all year where Mercedes didn't end up leading the way The German was typically the faster of Ferrari's two drivers, which meant his Q1 exit in Abu Dhabi - the result of a team miscalculation rather than a speed deficit - may have hurt their end-of-season average slightly. Even so, this was a good year for the Prancing Horse, as the team clearly established themselves as Mercedes' closest challengers.
7. Toro Rosso
Early season average: 101.77%
End of season average: 101.93%
Loss: 0.161%
Toro Rosso were a very close match for sister team Red Bull in the early stages of the season, a testament both to the STR10 chassis and the ability of their two rookie drivers, Max Verstappen and Carlos Sainz, who were two of the stars of the season.
They couldn't hold that pace over the year, however, and slipped back slightly. In the final three races, they were effectively in their own mini class - some way behind Mercedes, Ferrari, Williams, Red Bull and Force India, but equally some way ahead of Lotus, Sauber, McLaren and Marussia.
Early season average: 101.77%
End of season average: 101.93%
Loss: 0.161%
Toro Rosso were a very close match for sister team Red Bull in the early stages of the season, a testament both to the STR10 chassis and the ability of their two rookie drivers, Max Verstappen and Carlos Sainz, who were two of the stars of the season.
They couldn't hold that pace over the year, however, and slipped back slightly. In the final three races, they were effectively in their own mini class - some way behind Mercedes, Ferrari, Williams, Red Bull and Force India, but equally some way ahead of Lotus, Sauber, McLaren and Marussia.
8. Williams
Early season average: 101.03%
End of season average: 101.25%
Loss: 0.225%
Williams made the call to halt development of their 2015 car once third in the constructors' championship was secured - which was reflected in the data, as the team dropped back into the clutches of Red Bull and Force India. The loss of momentum was especially evident in Abu Dhabi, where Williams were the fifth-best team in terms of pace. There are other slight concerns, like a number of pit stop errors and the fact they were nowhere when it rained in Austin - but the decision to focus on 2016 will only be vindicated one way or another when the new season starts.
Early season average: 101.03%
End of season average: 101.25%
Loss: 0.225%
Williams made the call to halt development of their 2015 car once third in the constructors' championship was secured - which was reflected in the data, as the team dropped back into the clutches of Red Bull and Force India. The loss of momentum was especially evident in Abu Dhabi, where Williams were the fifth-best team in terms of pace. There are other slight concerns, like a number of pit stop errors and the fact they were nowhere when it rained in Austin - but the decision to focus on 2016 will only be vindicated one way or another when the new season starts.
9. Sauber
Early season average: 101.92%
End of season average: 102.45%
Loss: 0.528%
Sauber started the year fairly strongly - they had the same pace as Red Bull in Malaysia for example - but dropped away notably as the year progressed. Unfortunately for the Swiss squad this isn't exactly a new trend. Arresting the dynamic in 2016 might require changes to the typical methodology, but ending the season as the slowest team bar Marussia and McLaren is proof that action needs to be taken.
Early season average: 101.92%
End of season average: 102.45%
Loss: 0.528%
Sauber started the year fairly strongly - they had the same pace as Red Bull in Malaysia for example - but dropped away notably as the year progressed. Unfortunately for the Swiss squad this isn't exactly a new trend. Arresting the dynamic in 2016 might require changes to the typical methodology, but ending the season as the slowest team bar Marussia and McLaren is proof that action needs to be taken.
10. Lotus
Early season average: 101.64%
End of season average: 102.26%
Loss: 0.619%
Perhaps unsurprisingly, Lotus suffered the most during a season in which financial concerns dominated the team's outlook and potential. The team actually started very strongly, with the arrival of Mercedes power a significant benefit. Romain Grosjean too was in superlative form, somehow even capturing a podium at Spa-Francorchamps - a race where the team were the third fastest, in theory at least.
Performance plummeted, however, and by the final three races Lotus were fighting to stay ahead of Sauber and McLaren. A takeover by Renault should do much to alleviate the same sort of drop off next year.
The 2015 'Swingometer'

Early season average: 101.64%
End of season average: 102.26%
Loss: 0.619%
Perhaps unsurprisingly, Lotus suffered the most during a season in which financial concerns dominated the team's outlook and potential. The team actually started very strongly, with the arrival of Mercedes power a significant benefit. Romain Grosjean too was in superlative form, somehow even capturing a podium at Spa-Francorchamps - a race where the team were the third fastest, in theory at least.
Performance plummeted, however, and by the final three races Lotus were fighting to stay ahead of Sauber and McLaren. A takeover by Renault should do much to alleviate the same sort of drop off next year.
The 2015 'Swingometer'

(source: f1.com)
Sunday, December 13, 2015
Sky Sports F1 Tribute to Jules Bianchi
Saturday, December 12, 2015
Friday, December 11, 2015
Pirelli announce tyre choices for 2016 season opener
Pirelli will make their red-marked supersoft tyre available in Australia for the first time next year, after revealing the three compounds that will be used in the 2016 season-opener under the new tyre regulations.
Teams will also be able to use the white-marked medium and yellow-marked soft compounds over the Melbourne weekend.
As part of the new 2016 rules, every team must save at least one set of the supersoft tyre for Q3. Those who qualify inside the top ten will have to give the tyre back to Pirelli at the end of qualifying, while those who do not make the cut can carry the extra set into the race.
Teams must also have at least one set of mediums and one set of softs available for the race - although they are only obligated to race with one of those two compounds (should they also choose to use the supersoft compound during the race).
With 13 sets of tyres in total made available over the weekend, teams have free choice over their individual allocations for the remaining 10 sets.
(source: f1.com)
Thursday, December 10, 2015
Wednesday, December 9, 2015
Winners and losers - 2015
Surprise packages, experimental liveries, rookie sensations, beleaguered world champions, public fallouts, email dismissals, and even a hurricane - there was no shortage of storylines in F1 this year, even if the title itself was wrapped up at a canter. We run through the winners and losers from the 2015 season...
Winners
MAX VERSTAPPEN
A sensation in his rookie season, even before one considers he wasn't old enough to drive on public roads for half the season. Put another way, he had already passed Felipe Nasr around the outside of Spa's 290km/h Blanchimont left-hander - arguably the overtake of the year - by the time he convinced an examiner he was fit to drive in his native Holland.
Amid such swashbuckling confidence, it was often hard to shake the conviction that Verstappen simply has no right to be this good, this young. A solitary season in FIA European Formula Three seemed scant preparation for the step up to F1 competition, but Verstappen made an immediate impact and never let up thereafter. Of the few errors he made, a high-speed crash with Romain Grosjean in Monaco was the most notable, but it was very much the exception rather than the rule. Despite his never-say-die style (see below) and enthralling bravado, the Dutch teenager was nigh on immaculate. Not bad considering he was still in karts just 24 months ago...
FERRARI
The exits of then-president Luca di Montezemolo and then-team principal Marco Mattiacci suggested Ferrari would be in for a massive, and lengthy, restructuring in 2015. Instead, they began the year with an unexpected spring in their step, and broke into a full gallop in Malaysia.
By the season's end they had triumphed on another two occasions - one short of prompting Maurizio Arrivabene to take a barefoot stroll in the Maranello hills - and claimed 16 podiums, their best return since 2008.
With James Allison steering the technical direction, and Sebastian Vettel injecting a fresh energy along with his unerring talent, the Scuderia's prospects are suddenly looking very rosy.
LEWIS HAMILTON
Now a three-time F1 world champion, and with 43 victories to his credit - two more than childhood idol Ayrton Senna, and third on the all-time winners list behind only Michael Schumacher (91) and Alain Prost (51).
If his end-of-season dip gave him food for thought, Hamilton wasn't letting on in Abu Dhabi, where he said - as much to Nico Rosberg as to the press - "I think being world champion sounds a lot better than winning the race..."
Hamilton has earned the right to such a statement. For all the talk of his lifestyle being a distraction - and references to the occasional off-track mishap - Hamilton at his best, and in the best machinery, is a frightening combination. Seven wins, 11 poles and 11 podiums from the opening 12 races showed that when it mattered most, Hamilton blew his opposition away.

MEXICO CITY
Proof that absence makes the heart grow fonder - or that Mexico's love for F1 racing has not dwindled in the slightest over the last two decades. A sell-out crowd, a carnival atmosphere and that podium - this was a glorious return in every sense of the word, as Mexico City rapidly established itself as a new fan and drivers' favourite.
FORCE INDIA
The best campaign in Force India's history started in inauspicious fashion, with the team missing the first two pre-season tests and running an interim car for the first half of the year. Despite that, both Nico Hulkenberg and Sergio Perez kept themselves in the game with a collective nine points finishes over the first nine races, leaving them perfectly placed to capitalise when the B-spec car finally hit the track.
They did just that. Over the final races, the team outscored Red Bull, and only just trailed Williams, 106 points to 97. A podium in Russia - the fourth in the team's history - was the standout moment, but just as impressive was the fact they scored points in every race from Belgium onwards. Only one other team managed that - Mercedes.
SERGIO PEREZ
As Force India hit their stride, so too did Perez. A list of the results of his last five races tells its own story: 3rd, 5th, 8th, 12th, 5th, equating to 39 points. Only the championship top three - Lewis Hamilton, Nico Rosberg and Sebastian Vettel - picked up more.
In the process, the Mexican finished a career-best ninth in the championship, and out-scored Nico Hulkenberg 78 points to 58 - the first time Hulkenberg has been put in the shade by a team mate since his rookie season. Little wonder Perez himself labelled it his 'best season' in F1.
SEBASTIAN VETTEL
Gambled by leaving Red Bull, who scored 12 podiums and three wins in 2014, to join Ferrari, who claimed just two podiums amid their worst season in modern times. It paid off.
This wasn't just about Ferrari's upturn - Vettel himself was reinvigorated after the low of 2014. It wasn't needed, but by comprehensively out-performing Kimi Raikkonen the German offered proof of the qualities that carried him to his four world championships. When on song, Vettel is a match for anyone on the grid. If Ferrari take another step forward in 2016, a fifth crown will be firmly in his sights.

CAMO PAINT
Red Bull scored a massive PR win before the championship had even started with the bespoke camouflage livery run in pre-season testing. 'More than just black and white' was the team's take on the CamoBull. 'Epic' was the verdict from the fans.
MARUSSIA
Saved at the 11th hour prior to the season's start, their mere presence on the grid - let alone staying the course and actually closing the gap to Mercedes across the 19 races - is to be celebrated.
ROMAIN GROSJEAN
A superb season to dominate his team mate - Grosjean led Lotus team mate Pastor Maldonado 17-2 in qualifying, and scored 188 percent of the Venezuelan's total points. That he did so while missing 13 FP1 sessions makes the achievement all the more emphatic - while the unlikeliest of podiums in Belgium, amid a string of financial complications for Lotus, was the icing on the cake. A fitting way to end his relationship with the team from Enstone - now he rolls the dice and bets big on the US newcomers Haas.
SPEED TRAPS
Mexico City replaced Monza as the temple of top speed in 2015, with the high altitudes producing record speeds in excess of 360 km/h - significantly faster than the pre-V6 era.
ALONSO AND THE FIRST LAP
No driver made up more ground, or on more occasions, on the opening lap than the two-time champion. Admittedly McLaren's dismal season played into Alonso's hands in this particular regard, giving him plenty of opportunities to rise from the lower fringes of the grid. But when the lights went out, the Spaniard was a force of nature, making up more than 40 places - an average of more than two per race - over the season.
Losers

McLAREN-HONDA
Perhaps it was always going to be difficult to live up to pre-season hype for McLaren and Honda, but the reuniting of these two former powerhouses wasn't just underwhelming: it was crushingly disappointing.
Pre-season set the tone, with McLaren turning in 827 laps in total. Mercedes alone managed 1,914, Mercedes-powered cars 5,836 - effectively seven times Honda's count.
Five seconds off the pace in qualifying in Australia, McLaren pledged patience. But while they did improve, there was ultimately no fix for the fundamental issues of the Honda power unit. Having made compromises to try and keep the engine as tightly packaged as possible, Honda's small compressor meant they were down on power and energy harvesting, leading to a 'scary' deficit of around 20km/h on some straights.
After 19 painful races, both parties have the chance to make real changes - and real progress - over the winter. After such a dismal year, it is an opportunity they simply must take.
RED BULL
They might not have plumbed the same depths as McLaren, but Red Bull had their own painful season, as well-documented issues with power unit suppliers Renault dogged their form.
For the first time since 2008, the team failed to win. Over the same period, 2015 delivered their lowest podium count (three) and worst championship position (fourth).
The conviction remains that the RB11 was one of the best chassis in the field, a notion backed up by the team's instant improvements at circuits where engine power wasn't a priority. But in their very public row with Renault, and their subsequent (unsuccessful) pursuit and aggressive brokering with other engine suppliers, Red Bull lost face as well as performance. Not a season to add to the collection.

RENAULT
Whether your sympathies were with Red Bull or Renault during the war of words that broke out in 2015, it was hard to argue that the French manufacturer had gone the right way with their power unit. Poor initial reliability - which they eventually got on top of - was married with a distinct lack of power, a dynamic exacerbated when they finally released their upgraded unit in time for Brazil. Daniel Ricciardo was the only man to try it, and was distinctly underwhelmed. "It hasn't really given us anything," was the verdict, "so back to the drawing board for Renault." Quite.
ALONSO AND BUTTON
Was there a more depressing sight in 2015 than two world champions, widely considered to be among the best drivers in the world, trudging round at the back of the field? Both often looked for the positives, but this was a character-building season for two veterans who didn't need it, having already cut their teeth in F1 for a decade.
Frustrations inevitably spilled over at times, and there was even talk - prompted by McLaren chief Ron Dennis - of Alonso potentially taking a sabbatical in 2016 if things don't improve. The Spaniard played that down, reiterating his belief in the team's long-term prospects. There is a lot to put right over the next two months...
MARUSSIA
Winners for staying the course in the season, but losers for the way they ended it. The departures of Graeme Lowdon and John Booth, the men behind the team's phoenix-like rise from the ashes, is a big loss. With technical chief Bob Bell also departing, and having been demonstrably slower than anyone else in 2015, the team have a massive battle on their hands over winter.
PASTOR MALDONADO
Maldonado lived up to his alias in 2015, completing five laps or fewer in six Grands Prix this season, and retiring from nine in total. Only Roberto Merhi and Alexander Rossi, neither of whom contested the full season, completed fewer racing laps than the Venezuelan, who was also emphatically beaten by team mate Romain Grosjean. This wasn't a season to silence his detractors by any stretch.
KEVIN MAGNUSSEN
Let go by McLaren. By email. On his birthday. Despite largely matching Jenson Button during his rookie season in 2014, the talented Dane's future F1 options are already looking limited.

SUN WORSHIPPERS
The Saturday of this year's Grand Prix at Austin was not a time to be outside. Buffeted by the fringes of Hurricane Patricia, high winds and heavy rain lashed the circuit and caused first the delay, and then the postponing, of qualifying until Sunday morning. Through it all, fans somehow remained in their seats. We can only salute them.
THE POSTMAN
"Will you get each other a Christmas present?" one reporter cheekily asked Lewis Hamilton and Nico Rosberg in Abu Dhabi. 'No', was the effective response.
Such frosty relations could actually be exactly what F1 needs. Rosberg might have been blown away at the start of the year, but by the end he was firmly on top and had Hamilton rattled. Continue in that vein of form, and the pair's fierce rivalry might become a fierce fight for the championship - and that can only be a good thing for the sport, even if the postman might not be delivering them Christmas cards anytime soon.
KIMI RAIKKONEN
Won a reprieve by signing a one-year contract extension with Ferrari, but there was no disguising the fact Raikkonen was soundly beaten by a multiple world champion for the second season running.
The big chance to reset the balance was at Monza, where Raikkonen beat Vettel and Rosberg to a front-row starting slot. It didn't go well....
RACE REVERSALS
One win in 19 came from outside the front row in 2015 - and that was when Vettel won from third in Hungary. That's not to say there weren't some outstanding races - but it does emphasise the control Mercedes had over proceedings almost throughout.
THE STEWARDS' CALCULATOR
Even Alonso poked fun at McLaren's list of grid penalties, particularly the 105-place collective demotion he and Button received at Spa. That 'world record' was mocked by pundits and public alike, though regulation changes did at least mean it constituted nothing more than a back-row start.
(source: f1.com)
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